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Contents
David Brooks: Foreword
John Brockman: Preface
“Deep Time” and the Far Future
We Are Unique
The Mediocrity Principle
The Pointless Universe
The Copernican Principle
We Are Not Alone in the Universe
Microbes Run the World
The Double-Blind Control Experiment
Promoting a Scientific Lifestyle
Experimentation
The Controlled Experiment
Gedankenexperiment
The Pessimistic Meta-Induction from the History of Science
Each of Us Is Ordinary, Yet One of a Kind
Nexus Causality, Moral Warfare, and Misattribution Arbitrage
Self-Serving Bias
Cognitive Humility
Technologies Have Biases
Bias Is the Nose for the Story
Control Your Spotlight
The Focusing Illusion
The Uselessness of Certainty
Uncertainty
A Sense of Proportion About Fear of the Unknown
Because
The Name Game
Living Is Fatal
Uncalculated Risk
Truth Is a Model
E Pluribus Unum
A Proxemics of Urban Sexuality
Failure Liberates Success
Holism
TANSTAAFL
Skeptical Empiricism
Open Systems
Non-Inherent Inheritance
Shifting Baseline Syndrome
PERMA
Positive-Sum Games
The Snuggle for Existence
The Law of Comparative Advantage
Structured Serendipity
The World is Unpredictable
Randomness
The Kaleidoscopic Discovery Engine
Inference to the Best Explanation
Pragmamorphism
Cognitive Load
To Curate
“Graceful” SHAs
Externalities
Everything Is in Motion
Subselves and the Modular Mind
Predictive Coding
Our Sensory Desktop
The Senses and the Multisensory
The Umwelt
The Rational Unconscious
We Are Blind to Much That Shapes Our Mental Life
An Instinct to Learn
Think Bottom Up, Not Top Down
Fixed-Action Patterns
Powers of 10
Life Code
Constraint Satisfaction
Cycles
Keystone Consumers
Cumulative Error
Cultural Attractors
Scale Analysis
Hidden Layers
“Science”
The Expanding In-Group
Contingent Superorganisms
The Pareto Principle
Find That Frame
Wicked Problems
Anthropocene Thinking
Homo dilatus
We Are Lost in Thought
The Phenomenally Transparent Self-Model
Correlation Is Not a Cause
Information Flow
Thinking in Time Versus Thinking Outside of Time
Negative Capability Is a Profound Therapy
Depth
Temperament Dimensions
The Personality/Insanity Continuum
ARISE
Systemic Equilibrium
Projective Thinking
Anomalies and Paradigms
Recursive Structure
Designing Your Mind
Free Jazz
Collective Intelligence
Risk Literacy
Science Versus Theater
The Base Rate
Findex
An Assertion Is Often an Empirical Question, Settled by Collecting Evidence
Scientists Should Be Scientists
Bricoleur
Science’s Methods Aren’t Just for Science
The Game of Life—and Looking for Generators
Anecdotalism
You Can Show That Something Is Definitely Dangerous but Not That It’s Definitely Safe
Absence and Evidence
Path Dependence
Interbeing
The Other
Ecology
Dualities
Dualities
The Paradox
Hunting for Root Cause: The Human “Black Box”
Personal Data Mining
Parallelism in Art and Commerce
Innovation
The Gibbs Landscape
Black Swan Technologies
Kakonomics
Kayfabe
Einstein’s Blade in Ockham’s Razor
Heat-Seeking Missiles
Entanglement
Technology Paved the Way for Humanity
Time Span of Discretion
Defeasibility
Aether
Knowledge as a Hypothesis
The Einstellung Effect
Homo sensus sapiens: The Animal That Feels and Reasons
Understanding Confabulation
Sexual Selection
QED Moments
Objects of Understanding and Communication
Life as a Side Effect
The Veeck Effect
Supervenience!
The Culture Cycle
Phase Transitions and Scale Transitions
Replicability
Ambient Memory and the Myth of Neutral Observation
A Statistically Significant Difference in Understanding the Scientific Process
The Dece(i)bo Effect
Anthropophilia
A Solution for Collapsed Thinking: Signal Detection Theory
Everyday Apophenia
A Cognitive Toolkit Full of Garbage
Excerpt from What Should We Be Worried About?
Preface: The Edge Question
The Real Risk Factors for War
MADness
We are in Denial About Catastrophic Risks
Living without the Internet For a Couple of Weeks
Acknowledgments
Index
About the Author
Books by John Brockman
Credits
Copyright
About the Publisher
Footnotes
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